Taylor Swift: Episode, Aug 13, 2025
Kalshi What will Taylor Swift say during the New Heights Show?
Polymarket What will Taylor Swift say on Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?
Markets
39 words · 24 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Album | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Album 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Baby | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| engage / engaged | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Engaged / Engagement | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Era | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Eras Tour | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – | |
| Marry / Married | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Max Martin | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| October | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Orange | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Poet | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pre-order | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Release / released | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Showgirl | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Super Bowl | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Thirteen / Thirteenth | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| This Week | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tour | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Travis 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Twelve / Twelfth | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Twenty Two | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Break-up / Breakup | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kanye | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kelce | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Next Year | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| November | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pregnant | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Propose | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| September | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Studio | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Swiftie 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sydney Sweeney | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump / Kamala | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Will You Marry Me | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSWIFTMENTION-25AUG13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP