Taylor Swift: Interview, Oct 14, 2025

Tue, Oct 14InterviewHistory onlyTaylor Swift

Updated

Markets

24 words · 3 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Tour Yes75%n=4 from settlement history–
Era Yes75%n=4 from settlement history–
The Life of a Showgirl Yes11%n=3 from settlement history–
Bread No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Engagement / Engaged No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Poet No35%n=4 from settlement history–
Documentary No–new new word, no probability yet–
Fan No–new new word, no probability yet–
Part 2 / Part Two No–new new word, no probability yet–
Sourdough No–new new word, no probability yet–
Wedding No28%n=3 from settlement history–
New Album No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Bad Bunny No14%n=2 from settlement history–
Deluxe No14%n=2 from settlement history–
NFL No14%n=2 from settlement history–
Sabrina Carpenter No14%n=2 from settlement history–
Superbowl / Super Bowl No14%n=2 from settlement history–
Cat No11%n=3 from settlement history–
Egg No11%n=3 from settlement history–
Grammy No11%n=3 from settlement history–
Pregnant / Pregnancy No11%n=3 from settlement history–
Ring No11%n=3 from settlement history–
Kelce No10%n=4 from settlement history–
Trump No10%n=4 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSWIFTMENTION-25OCT14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP