Taylor Swift: Episode, Dec 10, 2025

Wed, Dec 10EpisodeHistory onlyTaylor Swift

Updated

Markets

10 words · 2 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Eras / Tour 10+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
Travis / Kelce Yes14%n=5 from settlement history–
AI No–new new word, no probability yet–
Christmas No–new new word, no probability yet–
Swiftie 5+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Taylor's Version No–new new word, no probability yet–
Superbowl No16%n=3 from settlement history–
Donald / Trump No14%n=5 from settlement history–
Crypto / Bitcoin No11%n=2 from settlement history–
Sabrina / Carpenter No11%n=2 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-taylor-swift-say-on-the-late-show-on-december-10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP