Taylor Swift: Episode, Oct 8, 2025

Wed, Oct 8EpisodeHistory onlyTaylor Swift

Updated

Markets

17 words · 2 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Era Yes67%n=2 from settlement history–
Tour Yes66%n=2 from settlement history–
Poet No65%n=2 from settlement history–
Wedding No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Engage / Engaged No36%n=2 from settlement history–
Super Bowl No35%n=2 from settlement history–
Bunny No–new new word, no probability yet–
Cat No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Egg No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Grammy No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Pregnant / Pregnancy No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Ring No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
The Life of a Showgirl No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Sabrina / Carpenter No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Breakup / Break Up No15%n=2 from settlement history–
Kelce No15%n=2 from settlement history–
Trump No14%n=2 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-taylor-swift-say-during-late-night-with-seth-meyers · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP