Will Taylor Swift say “The Life of a Showgirl”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Taylor Swift said “The Life of a Showgirl” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 6, 2025 (40%), most recently on Dec 11, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

44%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=taylor-swift&word=the%20life%20of%20a%20showgirl

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Taylor Swift

The Life of a Showgirl

Probability
44% · n=5
Settled
2/5 (40%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Taylor Swift yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Taylor Swift say during The Late Show with Stephen Colbert? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Taylor Swift say on The Late Show on December 10? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Taylor Swift say during Good Morning America? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Taylor Swift say during Late Night With Seth Meyers? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Taylor Swift say during Late Night with Seth Meyers? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Taylor Swift say during The Tonight Show? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Taylor Swift say during the New Heights Show? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Dec 11, 2025The Life of a ShowgirlKalshiYes
Oct 14, 2025The Life of a ShowgirlKalshiYes
Oct 9, 2025The Life of a ShowgirlKalshiNo
Oct 8, 2025The Life of a ShowgirlPolymarketNo
Oct 6, 2025The Life of a ShowgirlKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Taylor Swift say “The Life of a Showgirl”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Taylor Swift said “The Life of a Showgirl” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 6, 2025 (40%), most recently on Dec 11, 2025.
What is the probability Taylor Swift says “The Life of a Showgirl” next time?
44%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Taylor Swift: ‘The Life of a Showgirl’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/taylor-swift/words/the-life-of-a-showgirl (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=taylor-swift&word=the%20life%20of%20a%20showgirl · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=taylor-swift&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP