Taylor Swift: Episode, Dec 11, 2025
Kalshi What will Taylor Swift say during The Late Show with Stephen Colbert?
Markets
14 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tour | Yes | 78%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Travis | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bread | Yes | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Engagement / Engaged | Yes | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| The Life of a Showgirl | Yes | 32%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Fan | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cat | Yes | 10%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Poet | No | 28%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Wedding | No | 23%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Documentary | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Deluxe | No | 11%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Grammy | No | 10%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Pregnant / Pregnancy | No | 10%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 9%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSWIFTMENTION-25DEC11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP