Taylor Swift: Episode, Oct 9, 2025
Kalshi What will Taylor Swift say during Late Night With Seth Meyers?
Markets
27 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tour | Yes | 76%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Era | Yes | 75%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Bread | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Poet | No | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Wedding | No | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| New Album | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Engage / Engaged | No | 29%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| 22 | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Abigail | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bad Bunny | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Deluxe | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| James / Comey | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Midnight | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NFL | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Sabrina Carpenter | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Superbowl / Super Bowl | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Sydney / Sweeney | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cat | No | 16%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Egg | No | 16%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Grammy | No | 16%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Pregnant / Pregnancy | No | 16%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ring | No | 16%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| The Life of a Showgirl | No | 16%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Breakup / Break Up | No | 13%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Kelce | No | 13%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 13%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSWIFTMENTION-25OCT09 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP