Will James Corden say “VAR”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, James Corden said “VAR” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 8, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jul 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

48%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

James Corden

VAR

Probability
48% · n=5
Settled
3/5 (60%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for James Corden yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will James Corden say during World Cup on Fox After Hours? · not listed

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What will James Corden say during World Cup on Fox After Hours? · settled no

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What will James Corden say during World Cup on Fox After Hours? · settled yes

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What will James Corden say during World Cup on Fox After Hours? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will James Corden say during World Cup on Fox After Hours? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will James Corden say during World Cup on Fox After Hours? · settled yes

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What will James Corden say during World Cup on Fox After Hours? · not listed

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What will James Corden say during World Cup on Fox After Hours? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will James Corden say during World Cup on Fox After Hours? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will James Corden say during World Cup on Fox After Hours? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 15, 2026VARKalshiNo
Jul 12, 2026VARKalshiYes
Jul 10, 2026VARKalshiYes
Jul 9, 2026VARKalshiNo
Jul 8, 2026VARKalshiYes

Questions

How often does James Corden say “VAR”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, James Corden said “VAR” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 8, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jul 12, 2026.
What is the probability James Corden says “VAR” next time?
48%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “James Corden: ‘VAR’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/james-corden/words/var (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=james-corden&word=var · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=james-corden&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP