Carnival (CCL)

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 48 word markets on Carnival’s earnings calls since 2026, on 27 different words. Next call: Dec 18, 2026 (14 words listed).

“Dividend” on the Sep 29 call · 12:42 · said 2 times. Play the clip

Next: Earnings call ·

14 words listed · Occasion page

Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator

Kalshi

Carnival: the words listed for Fri, Dec 18, how often each was said on past occasions, and the probability for this one
WordQ4’24Dec '24Q1’25Mar '25Q2’25Jun '25Q3’25Sep '25Q4’25year agoQ1’26Mar '26Q2’26Jun '26Q3’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbabilityMarket
Dividend2 times: Dividend, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said0 times: Dividend, Q1’25 Mar '250 times: Dividend, Q2’25 Jun '254 times: Dividend, Q3’25 Sep '25, counts as said4 times: Dividend, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said2 times: Dividend, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said3 times: Dividend, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said2 times: Dividend, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidrising6/875%4/850%49/7367%84%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts80¢ Kalshi
Dry Dock3 times: Dry Dock, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said5 times: Dry Dock, Q1’25 Mar '25, counts as said1 time: Dry Dock, Q2’25 Jun '25, counts as said5 times: Dry Dock, Q3’25 Sep '25, counts as said8 times: Dry Dock, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said5 times: Dry Dock, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said0 times: Dry Dock, Q2’26 Jun '261 time: Dry Dock, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidfalling7/888%5/862%56/7377%83%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts77¢ Kalshi
Propel0 times: Propel, Q4’24 Dec '240 times: Propel, Q1’25 Mar '251 time: Propel, Q2’25 Jun '25, counts as said0 times: Propel, Q3’25 Sep '250 times: Propel, Q4’25 Dec '2511 times: Propel, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said1 time: Propel, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said4 times: Propel, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidrising4/850%3/838%8/7311%83%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts70¢ Kalshi
AI / Artificial Intelligence0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’24 Dec '240 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’25 Mar '253 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’25 Jun '25, counts as said0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’25 Sep '253 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said6 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidrising5/862%2/825%8/7311%83%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts64¢ Kalshi
Princess3 times: Princess, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said1 time: Princess, Q1’25 Mar '25, counts as said4 times: Princess, Q2’25 Jun '25, counts as said3 times: Princess, Q3’25 Sep '25, counts as said0 times: Princess, Q4’25 Dec '250 times: Princess, Q1’26 Mar '264 times: Princess, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said3 times: Princess, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidsteady6/875%6/875%60/7382%77%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts65¢ Kalshi
Headwind0 times: Headwind, Q4’24 Dec '240 times: Headwind, Q1’25 Mar '250 times: Headwind, Q2’25 Jun '254 times: Headwind, Q3’25 Sep '25, counts as said0 times: Headwind, Q4’25 Dec '252 times: Headwind, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said1 time: Headwind, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said4 times: Headwind, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidrising4/850%3/838%26/7336%76%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts80¢ Kalshi
Holland America1 time: Holland America, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said1 time: Holland America, Q1’25 Mar '25, counts as said1 time: Holland America, Q2’25 Jun '25, counts as said0 times: Holland America, Q3’25 Sep '250 times: Holland America, Q4’25 Dec '250 times: Holland America, Q1’26 Mar '264 times: Holland America, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said1 time: Holland America, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidrising5/862%4/850%41/7356%70%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts78¢ Kalshi
Iran / Middle East0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’24 Dec '240 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’25 Mar '251 time: Iran / Middle East, Q2’25 Jun '25, counts as said0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’25 Sep '250 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’25 Dec '252 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said5 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said1 time: Iran / Middle East, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidrising4/850%4/850%11/7315%68%transcripts from the transcript model40¢ Kalshi
Modernization0 times: Modernization, Q4’24 Dec '240 times: Modernization, Q1’25 Mar '250 times: Modernization, Q2’25 Jun '250 times: Modernization, Q3’25 Sep '250 times: Modernization, Q4’25 Dec '251 time: Modernization, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said3 times: Modernization, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said1 time: Modernization, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidrising3/838%3/838%5/737%66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts72¢ Kalshi
Inflation4 times: Inflation, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said0 times: Inflation, Q1’25 Mar '250 times: Inflation, Q2’25 Jun '250 times: Inflation, Q3’25 Sep '254 times: Inflation, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said0 times: Inflation, Q1’26 Mar '260 times: Inflation, Q2’26 Jun '262 times: Inflation, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidfalling3/838%3/838%38/7352%59%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts55¢ Kalshi
Tailwind1 time: Tailwind, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said0 times: Tailwind, Q1’25 Mar '251 time: Tailwind, Q2’25 Jun '25, counts as said1 time: Tailwind, Q3’25 Sep '25, counts as said1 time: Tailwind, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said0 times: Tailwind, Q1’26 Mar '261 time: Tailwind, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said0 times: Tailwind, Q3’26 Sep '26steady5/862%2/825%17/7323%38%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts28¢ Kalshi
Tariff0 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Dec '240 times: Tariff, Q1’25 Mar '250 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Jun '250 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Sep '250 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Dec '250 times: Tariff, Q1’26 Mar '262 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said0 times: Tariff, Q3’26 Sep '26rising1/812%0/80%1/731%28%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts8¢ Kalshi
OpenAI / ChatGPT0 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q4’24 Dec '240 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q1’25 Mar '250 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q2’25 Jun '250 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q3’25 Sep '250 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q4’25 Dec '251 time: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said0 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q2’26 Jun '260 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q3’26 Sep '26steady1/812%0/80%1/731%28%transcripts from the transcript model25¢ Kalshi
Oil0 times: Oil, Q4’24 Dec '240 times: Oil, Q1’25 Mar '250 times: Oil, Q2’25 Jun '250 times: Oil, Q3’25 Sep '250 times: Oil, Q4’25 Dec '250 times: Oil, Q1’26 Mar '260 times: Oil, Q2’26 Jun '260 times: Oil, Q3’26 Sep '26steady0/80%0/80%6/738%10%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts12¢ Kalshi
  • times said on that call
  • counted as said (ring)
  • no call
  • probability next time, with n
  • Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Every word

1–15 of 15, most settled first
Carnival: every word with settled markets, most settled first
WordQ4’24Dec '24Q1’25Mar '25Q2’25Jun '25Q3’25Sep '25Q4’25Dec '25Q1’26Mar '26Q2’26Jun '26Q3’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbability
Celebration Key21 times: Celebration Key, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said10 times: Celebration Key, Q1’25 Mar '25, counts as said14 times: Celebration Key, Q2’25 Jun '25, counts as said18 times: Celebration Key, Q3’25 Sep '25, counts as said5 times: Celebration Key, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said4 times: Celebration Key, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said14 times: Celebration Key, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said15 times: Celebration Key, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%8/8100%13/7318%96%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Iran0 times: Iran, Q4’24 Dec '240 times: Iran, Q1’25 Mar '250 times: Iran, Q2’25 Jun '250 times: Iran, Q3’25 Sep '250 times: Iran, Q4’25 Dec '250 times: Iran, Q1’26 Mar '260 times: Iran, Q2’26 Jun '260 times: Iran, Q3’26 Sep '26steady0/80%0/80%1/731%10%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Middle East0 times: Middle East, Q4’24 Dec '240 times: Middle East, Q1’25 Mar '251 time: Middle East, Q2’25 Jun '25, counts as said0 times: Middle East, Q3’25 Sep '250 times: Middle East, Q4’25 Dec '252 times: Middle East, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said5 times: Middle East, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said1 time: Middle East, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidrising4/850%4/850%10/7314%76%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Booking10+ times16 times: Booking 10+ times, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said20 times: Booking 10+ times, Q1’25 Mar '25, counts as said9 times: Booking 10+ times, Q2’25 Jun '25, below the threshold15 times: Booking 10+ times, Q3’25 Sep '25, counts as said8 times: Booking 10+ times, Q4’25 Dec '25, below the threshold16 times: Booking 10+ times, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said16 times: Booking 10+ times, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said19 times: Booking 10+ times, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidsteady6/875%1/812%70/7396%71%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Capacityevery call2 times: Capacity, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said9 times: Capacity, Q1’25 Mar '25, counts as said8 times: Capacity, Q2’25 Jun '25, counts as said15 times: Capacity, Q3’25 Sep '25, counts as said14 times: Capacity, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said13 times: Capacity, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said9 times: Capacity, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said15 times: Capacity, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%8/8100%73/73100%96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Dock4 times: Dock, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said9 times: Dock, Q1’25 Mar '25, counts as said1 time: Dock, Q2’25 Jun '25, counts as said7 times: Dock, Q3’25 Sep '25, counts as said9 times: Dock, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said6 times: Dock, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said1 time: Dock, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said1 time: Dock, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%6/875%53/7373%91%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Evolution2 times: Evolution, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said3 times: Evolution, Q1’25 Mar '25, counts as said3 times: Evolution, Q2’25 Jun '25, counts as said4 times: Evolution, Q3’25 Sep '25, counts as said1 time: Evolution, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said2 times: Evolution, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said3 times: Evolution, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said2 times: Evolution, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%6/875%16/7322%85%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Fuel5+ times10 times: Fuel 5+ times, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said7 times: Fuel 5+ times, Q1’25 Mar '25, counts as said11 times: Fuel 5+ times, Q2’25 Jun '25, counts as said9 times: Fuel 5+ times, Q3’25 Sep '25, counts as said14 times: Fuel 5+ times, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said38 times: Fuel 5+ times, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said19 times: Fuel 5+ times, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said28 times: Fuel 5+ times, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%8/8100%68/7393%91%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Guest10+ times15 times: Guest 10+ times, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said17 times: Guest 10+ times, Q1’25 Mar '25, counts as said24 times: Guest 10+ times, Q2’25 Jun '25, counts as said21 times: Guest 10+ times, Q3’25 Sep '25, counts as said16 times: Guest 10+ times, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said13 times: Guest 10+ times, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said17 times: Guest 10+ times, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said23 times: Guest 10+ times, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%5/862%38/7352%81%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Loyalty1 time: Loyalty, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said0 times: Loyalty, Q1’25 Mar '2516 times: Loyalty, Q2’25 Jun '25, counts as said9 times: Loyalty, Q3’25 Sep '25, counts as said4 times: Loyalty, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said1 time: Loyalty, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said4 times: Loyalty, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said4 times: Loyalty, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidsteady7/888%7/888%11/7315%86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Quarter20+ times37 times: Quarter 20+ times, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said43 times: Quarter 20+ times, Q1’25 Mar '25, counts as said62 times: Quarter 20+ times, Q2’25 Jun '25, counts as said48 times: Quarter 20+ times, Q3’25 Sep '25, counts as said40 times: Quarter 20+ times, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said26 times: Quarter 20+ times, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said28 times: Quarter 20+ times, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said43 times: Quarter 20+ times, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%7/888%70/7396%81%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Wave7 times: Wave, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said6 times: Wave, Q1’25 Mar '25, counts as said0 times: Wave, Q2’25 Jun '251 time: Wave, Q3’25 Sep '25, counts as said0 times: Wave, Q4’25 Dec '251 time: Wave, Q1’26 Mar '26, counts as said0 times: Wave, Q2’26 Jun '261 time: Wave, Q3’26 Sep '26, counts as saidfalling5/862%3/838%48/7366%60%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Caribbean Gulfnever said0 times: Caribbean Gulf, Q4’24 Dec '240 times: Caribbean Gulf, Q1’25 Mar '250 times: Caribbean Gulf, Q2’25 Jun '250 times: Caribbean Gulf, Q3’25 Sep '250 times: Caribbean Gulf, Q4’25 Dec '250 times: Caribbean Gulf, Q1’26 Mar '260 times: Caribbean Gulf, Q2’26 Jun '260 times: Caribbean Gulf, Q3’26 Sep '26steady0/80%0/80%0/730%12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Consumer Sentiment0 times: Consumer Sentiment, Q4’24 Dec '240 times: Consumer Sentiment, Q1’25 Mar '250 times: Consumer Sentiment, Q2’25 Jun '250 times: Consumer Sentiment, Q3’25 Sep '253 times: Consumer Sentiment, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said0 times: Consumer Sentiment, Q1’26 Mar '262 times: Consumer Sentiment, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said0 times: Consumer Sentiment, Q3’26 Sep '26rising2/825%2/825%4/735%38%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Sphere Class0 times: Sphere Class, Q4’24 Dec '240 times: Sphere Class, Q1’25 Mar '250 times: Sphere Class, Q2’25 Jun '250 times: Sphere Class, Q3’25 Sep '250 times: Sphere Class, Q4’25 Dec '250 times: Sphere Class, Q1’26 Mar '261 time: Sphere Class, Q2’26 Jun '26, counts as said0 times: Sphere Class, Q3’26 Sep '26steady1/812%1/812%1/731%21%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Appearances and settled record

latest 12

Our transcript counts matched how 48 of 48 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.

Recent appearances and how their listed words settled
DateAppearanceTextWordsSettledOur count agreed
Sep 29, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript2720 yes · 7 no27/27 (100%)
Jun 23, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript117 yes · 4 no11/11 (100%)
Mar 27, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript105 yes · 5 no10/10 (100%)
Dec 19, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Sep 29, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jun 24, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Mar 21, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Dec 20, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Sep 30, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jun 25, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Mar 27, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Dec 21, 2023Earnings call FY23 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––

Citeparrot.markets, “Carnival (CCL): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CCL (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/carnival · words: /api/v1/history?entity=carnival · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP