Will Carnival say “Tailwind”?

Carnival did not say “Tailwind” on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 0, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Carnival said “Tailwind” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 27, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

38%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3Next: Earnings call, Dec 18, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
28¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Carnival

Tailwind

Probability
38% · n=3
Settled
1/3 (33%)
Last calls
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Sep 29, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jun 23, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Josh WeinsteincompanyqaIn transcript

…pair that with RelaxAway at Half Moon Cay, which we are absolutely really ecstatic about. A lot of tailwinds as we look into the future.

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Mar 27, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Dec 19, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Josh WeinsteincompanyqaIn transcript

…when you put all of that together, that is a very nice tailwind for what we have to offer because we are an amazing value,…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Sep 29, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Josh WeinsteincompanypreparedIn transcript

…class will now represent over 15% of the Princess fleet. A nice tailwind for the brand next year. Of course, we also have the full…

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jun 24, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Mar 21, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Dec 20, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 29, 2026TailwindKalshiNo0
Jun 23, 2026TailwindKalshiYes1
Mar 27, 2026TailwindKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Carnival say “Tailwind” on its last earnings call?
Carnival did not say “Tailwind” on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 0, 1, 0 times.
How often does Carnival say “Tailwind”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Carnival said “Tailwind” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 27, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026.
What is the probability Carnival says “Tailwind” next time?
38%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Carnival: ‘Tailwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CCL/words/tailwind (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=carnival&word=tailwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=carnival&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP