Will Carnival say “Headwind”?
Carnival said “Headwind” 4 times on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 4, 0, 2, 1, 4 times. As of Oct 26, 2026, Carnival said “Headwind” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 27, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 76% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 80¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Carnival
Headwind
- Probability
- 76% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…are showing up in our financial results. Despite the significant fuel price headwind this year, we expect to finish 2026 with even more brands generating…
…of EPS accretion, while higher fuel prices were an $0.11 per share headwind. However, the 26% reduction in fuel consumption per ALBD since 2019 helps…
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…weeks suggest we are already beginning to see a reversal of these headwinds. The key takeaway here is that this moderation is already proving to…
…of times that you've recently started to see a reversal of these headwinds in terms of booking progress. As we think about your guidance for…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
That improvement helps absorb a $500 million fuel headwind, albeit that is against a substantial EBITDA forecast of $7 billion, which David will walk you…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Carnival say “Headwind” on its last earnings call?
- Carnival said “Headwind” 4 times on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 4, 0, 2, 1, 4 times.
- How often does Carnival say “Headwind”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Carnival said “Headwind” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 27, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Carnival says “Headwind” next time?
- 76%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Carnival: ‘Headwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CCL/words/headwind (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=carnival&word=headwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=carnival&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP