Will Carnival say “Iran”?

Carnival did not say “Iran” on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), or on any of its last 8 calls. As of Oct 24, 2026, Carnival did not say “Iran” on any of the 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 10% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

10%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3Next: Earnings call, Dec 18, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
40¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Carnival

Iran

Probability
10% · n=3
Settled
0/3 (0%)
Last calls
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Sep 29, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jun 23, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Mar 27, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Dec 19, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Sep 29, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jun 24, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Mar 21, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Dec 20, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 29, 2026IranKalshiNo0
Jun 23, 2026IranKalshiNo0
Mar 27, 2026IranKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Carnival say “Iran” on its last earnings call?
Carnival did not say “Iran” on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), or on any of its last 8 calls.
How often does Carnival say “Iran”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Carnival did not say “Iran” on any of the 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 27, 2026.
What is the probability Carnival says “Iran” next time?
10%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Carnival: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CCL/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=carnival&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=carnival&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP