Will Carnival say “Middle East”?
Carnival said “Middle East” 1 time on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 2, 5, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Carnival said “Middle East” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 23, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 76% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 40¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Carnival
Middle East
- Probability
- 76% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…operating expenses from two exclusive destinations, and the impact of certain elevated logistics costs as a result of the disruption from the Middle East conflict.
Counts: company speakers + operator
5 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…was achieved despite higher crew travel costs and freight resulting from the Middle East disruption. Some of the $0.05 per share cost improvement this quarter…
…share operational knock-on impact of the extreme geopolitical volatility generated by the Middle East conflict. As you heard from Josh, the conflict in the Middle…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…we begin, I do want to acknowledge the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and the profound human impact it's having on so many people.…
…over the long term. As we continue to monitor developments in the Middle East, we remain focused on executing on that strategy and delivering for…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Middle East |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Middle East | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
Questions
- How many times did Carnival say “Middle East” on its last earnings call?
- Carnival said “Middle East” 1 time on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 2, 5, 1 times.
- How often does Carnival say “Middle East”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Carnival said “Middle East” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 23, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Carnival says “Middle East” next time?
- 76%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Carnival: ‘Middle East’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CCL/words/middle-east (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=carnival&word=middle%20east · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=carnival&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP