Will Carnival say “Dividend”?
Carnival said “Dividend” 2 times on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 2, 0, 0, 4, 4, 2, 3, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Carnival said “Dividend” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 27, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 84% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 80¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Carnival
Dividend
- Probability
- 84% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…our financial position. Just six months into our share repurchase program, we have already bought back about $1.2 billion of stock alongside our ongoing dividend.
…to our shareholders responsibly. Combining share repurchases with our expected fiscal year dividend payout, we will be returning nearly $2 billion to shareholders. Even with…
Counts: company speakers + operator
3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
Combining our annualized dividend distributions and just the share repurchases completed to date, we will be returning $1.3 billion to shareholders this year while continuing…
…expect to be record yields in the second half, and giving the dividend play and investing in ourselves and de-levering, I think it shows the…
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…our growth, to achieve our leverage target, to grow our recently reinstated dividend, and to return excess capital through an opportunistic buyback program, beginning with…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Carnival say “Dividend” on its last earnings call?
- Carnival said “Dividend” 2 times on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 2, 0, 0, 4, 4, 2, 3, 2 times.
- How often does Carnival say “Dividend”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Carnival said “Dividend” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 27, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Carnival says “Dividend” next time?
- 84%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Carnival: ‘Dividend’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CCL/words/dividend (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=carnival&word=dividend · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=carnival&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP