Will Carnival say “Tariff”?
Carnival did not say “Tariff” on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Carnival said “Tariff” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 27, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 8¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Carnival
Tariff
- Probability
- 28% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…had had an initial impact in February from the initial rumblings of tariffs, if you remember. April of last year, just took a big hit…
…have done better because last year, April was the volatility from the tariff announcements. Europe did do a good deal better in April than March,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Carnival say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- Carnival did not say “Tariff” on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0 times.
- How often does Carnival say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Carnival said “Tariff” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 27, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Carnival says “Tariff” next time?
- 28%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Carnival: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CCL/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=carnival&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=carnival&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP