Will Carnival say “Iran / Middle East”?
Carnival said “Iran / Middle East” 1 time on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 2, 5, 1 times. As of Oct 25, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Carnival saying “Iran / Middle East” has settled yet. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (from the transcript model), not a forecast.
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 40¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Carnival
Iran / Middle East
- Probability
- 68% · n=0
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…operating expenses from two exclusive destinations, and the impact of certain elevated logistics costs as a result of the disruption from the Middle East conflict.
…booking that far out and specifically relating this year, six months into Iran looking at one year out versus one year ago, six months into…
Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
5 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…was achieved despite higher crew travel costs and freight resulting from the Middle East disruption. Some of the $0.05 per share cost improvement this quarter…
…share operational knock-on impact of the extreme geopolitical volatility generated by the Middle East conflict. As you heard from Josh, the conflict in the Middle…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…we begin, I do want to acknowledge the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and the profound human impact it's having on so many people.…
Questions
- How many times did Carnival say “Iran / Middle East” on its last earnings call?
- Carnival said “Iran / Middle East” 1 time on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 2, 5, 1 times.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Carnival: ‘Iran / Middle East’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CCL/words/iran-or-middle-east (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=carnival&word=iran%20%2F%20middle%20east · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=carnival&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP