# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2026-01-11 (settled) · 15 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-january-11 · as_of 2026-10-26T22:12:11Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-01-11 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-january-11 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Ass / Shit	ass|shit	6	4	0.67	YnnYYY	0.69	hist	0	0	yes	1
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	36	25	0.69	YYYYYnYYnn	0.65	hist	0	0	yes	1
Transgender	transgender	51	23	0.45	YYYYnnnnnn	0.58	hist	0	0	yes	1
Fraud / Scam	fraud|scam	0	0			0.53	hist	0	0	yes	1
Atlantic	atlantic	1	0	0	n	0.49	hist	0	0	no	1
FIFA	fifa	0	0			0.49	hist	0	0	no	1
Kennedy / Autism	autism|kennedy	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.47	hist	0	0	yes	1
Anniversary	anniversary	2	0	0	nn	0.43	hist	0	0	no	1
Cognitive	cognitive	2	0	0	nn	0.43	hist	0	0	yes	1
Inflation	inflation	40	16	0.4	nYnYnnnnnY	0.38	hist	0	0	yes	1
Blue Slip	blue slip	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Colombia	colombia	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Day Care / Daycare	day care|daycare	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
New Year	new year	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Six Seven	six seven	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	no	1