# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-05-09 (settled) · 8 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-134 · as_of 2026-10-26T19:00:16Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-05-09 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-134 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 3, 00:00 AM ET and May 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	5	4	0.8	YnYYY	0.66	hist	0	0	yes	1
Kamala	kamala	9	4	0.44	nnYnnYYYn	0.51	hist	0	0	yes	1
Pete / Hegseth	hegseth|pete	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	0	0	yes	1
51st State	51st state	1	0	0	n	0.4	hist	0	0	no	1
Pope	pope	2	0	0	nn	0.36	hist	0	0	yes	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	87	3	0.03	nnnnYnnnnn	0.19	hist	0	0	yes	1
Governor	governor	1	1	1	Y	0.43	prior	0	0	yes	1
Baby	baby	0	0			0.43	prior	0	0	yes	1