# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · interview 2024-10-29 · 12 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-hannity-interview · as_of 2026-10-26T06:44:16Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-29 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-hannity-interview (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the specific statements made by Trump during his interview with Hannity.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trans	tran	1	29	23	0.79	YYYYYYYYYY	0.64	hist	yes
Putin	putin	1	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	0.53	hist	yes
Fake News	fake new	1	10	6	0.6	nnYYYYYYnn	0.49	hist	yes
Border 5+ times	border#5	5	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.46	hist	yes
Nazi	nazi	1	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	yes
Rogan	rogan	1	2	0	0	nn	0.35	hist	no
Comrade Kamala	comrade kamala	1	9	3	0.33	YYnnnYnnn	0.34	hist	no
Crypto/Btitcoin	btitcoin|crypto	1	0	0			0.11	hist	no
Kamala 8+ times	kamala#8	8	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Mail-In Ballot	mail in ballot	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Puerto Rico/Rican	puerto rico|rican	1	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Sleepy/Crooked Joe	crooked joe|sleepy	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no
