Will Donald Trump say “Mail-In Ballot”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Mail-In Ballot” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 29, 2024.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Mail-In Ballot
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the day of the election. You know, the deadline to request a mail-in ballot is this Friday, October 23rd. It must be returned by election…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | Mail-In Ballot |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Mail-In Ballot”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Mail-In Ballot” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 29, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Mail-In Ballot” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Mail-In Ballot’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/mail-in-ballot (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=mail%20in%20ballot · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP