Will Donald Trump say “Sleepy/Crooked Joe”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Sleepy/Crooked Joe” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 29, 2024.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Sleepy/Crooked Joe
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Myers earlier this year, an illegal alien released into our county by crooked Joe Biden. You know who I'm talking about. strangled and killed a…
…was right. The other one was $185. Now, do you think that sleepy Joe Biden Do you think he's looking at pumps to find out…
You think Sleepy Joe would say, "Gee, the wall's not looking too good today." He He didn't know he was alive. Guy was he the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | Sleepy/Crooked Joe |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Sleepy/Crooked Joe”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Sleepy/Crooked Joe” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 29, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Sleepy/Crooked Joe” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Sleepy/Crooked Joe’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/crooked-joe-or-sleepy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=crooked%20joe%20%2F%20sleepy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP