Will “AI / Intelligence” appear on the next NYT front page?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “AI / Intelligence” appeared on the NYT front page on the only day with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 10, 2026.

Of the last 8 front pages we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 8.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Last said
May 5, 2026
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The New York Times (front page)

AI / Intelligence

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 8 front pages
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Monday, October 19otherNYT front-page headlines, October 19–25, 2026 · Oct 25, 2026In transcript

Math World on ‘War Footing’ Over Incursions by A.I. Models

Tuesday, October 13otherNYT front-page headlines, October 12–18, 2026 · Oct 18, 2026In transcript

A.I. on Lookout for Wildfires

Monday, October 5otherNYT front-page headlines, October 5–11, 2026 · Oct 11, 2026In transcript

A.I. Appraises Risk of Getting Breast Cancer

Monday, September 28otherNYT front-page headlines, September 28–October 4, 2026 · Oct 4, 2026In transcript

An A.I. ‘Warning Shot’

Monday, September 21otherNYT front-page headlines, September 21–27, 2026 · Sep 27, 2026In transcript

A.I.’s Good News, Bad News

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 5 - October 11) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 14 - September 20) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 7 - September 13) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 31 - September 6) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 24 - August 30) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 17 - August 23) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 10 - August 16) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 10, 2026AI / IntelligencePolymarketYes

Questions

How often does “AI / Intelligence” appear on the NYT front page?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “AI / Intelligence” appeared on the NYT front page on the only day with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 10, 2026.
What is the probability “AI / Intelligence” appears on the NYT front page next time?
45%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “NYT front page: ‘AI / Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/nyt-front-page/words/ai-or-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nyt-front-page&word=ai%20%2F%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nyt-front-page&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP