Will “Ballroom” appear on the next NYT front page?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Ballroom” appeared on the NYT front page on 1 of 2 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 10, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 front pages we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 1.

41%from settlement history only · n=2counts: anyone
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The New York Times (front page)

Ballroom

Probability
41% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 8 front pages
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Tuesday, September 1otherNYT front-page headlines, August 31–September 6, 2026 · Sep 6, 2026In transcript

Supreme Court Puts Ballroom Back on Track

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 5 - October 11) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27) · not said

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 14 - September 20) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 7 - September 13) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 31 - September 6) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 24 - August 30) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 17 - August 23) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 10 - August 16) · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 27, 2026BallroomPolymarketNo0
May 10, 2026BallroomPolymarketYes–

Questions

How often does “Ballroom” appear on the NYT front page?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Ballroom” appeared on the NYT front page on 1 of 2 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 10, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 6, 2026.
What is the probability “Ballroom” appears on the NYT front page next time?
41%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “NYT front page: ‘Ballroom’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/nyt-front-page/words/ballroom (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nyt-front-page&word=ballroom · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nyt-front-page&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP