Elon Musk: Interview, Mar 27, 2025
Polymarket What will Elon say during Baier interview?
Markets
21 words · 4 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| DOGE 7+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| PayPal | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Social Security | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tesla | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Arson | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Astronaut | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Big Balls | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billion 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Education | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fort Knox | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Grok | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Marco / Rubio | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mars | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SpaceX | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Starlink | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trans | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| USAID | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rubio | open | – | 42¢ Polymarket |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-elon-say-during-baier-interview · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP