# Elon Musk (elon-musk) · interview 2025-03-27 · 21 words · P p:what-will-elon-say-during-baier-interview · as_of 2026-10-24T15:49:30Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-03-27 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-elon-say-during-baier-interview (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk says the listed term during this interview.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	p	p_src	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0		0.22	prior	no
Arson	arson	1	0	0		0.22	prior	no
Astronaut	astronaut	1	0	0		0.22	prior	no
Big Balls	big ball	1	0	0		0.22	prior	no
Billion 10+	billion#10	10	0	0		0.22	prior	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	0	0		0.22	prior	no
DOGE 7+ times	doge#7	7	0	0		0.22	prior	yes
Education	education	1	0	0		0.22	prior	no
Fort Knox	fort knox	1	0	0		0.22	prior	no
Grok	grok	1	0	0		0.22	prior	no
Marco / Rubio	marco|rubio	1	0	0		0.22	prior	no
Mars	mar	1	0	0		0.22	prior	no
PayPal	paypal	1	0	0		0.22	prior	yes
Social Security	social security	1	0	0		0.22	prior	yes
SpaceX	spacex	1	0	0		0.22	prior	no
Starlink	starlink	1	0	0		0.22	prior	no
Tesla	tesla	1	0	0		0.22	prior	yes
Trans	tran	1	0	0		0.22	prior	no
Trump 10+ times	trump#10	10	0	0		0.22	prior	no
USAID	usaid	1	0	0		0.22	prior	no
Rubio	rubio	1	0	0