Will “Thing” be said 10+ times at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Thing” was said 10+ times at the White House press briefing on 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 19, 2026 (75%), most recently on Jul 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (10+, role: press secretary) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Thing 10+ times
- Probability
- 49% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Counts: role: press secretary
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…and it means restoring the belief that we can make and build things right here, at home. This is what President Trump promised, and it's…
…want to get ahead of those conversations, but uh... The most important thing for the American people to know is that this president in this…
Counts: role: press secretary
5 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…who I signed up during my maternity leave. There are a few things I want to make clear about this massively beneficial program that has…
Well, a few things. I would encourage everyone to tune in tonight. I've seen a lot of reporting and, frankly, misreporting about what the President…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Thing 10+ times |  Polymarket | No | 2 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Thing 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 5 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Thing 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 19, 2026 | Thing 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Thing 10+ times” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Thing” was said 10+ times at the White House press briefing on 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 19, 2026 (75%), most recently on Jul 16, 2026.
- What is the probability “Thing 10+ times” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Thing 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/thing-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=thing%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP