Will “Congress” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Congress” was said at the White House press briefing on 7 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 29, 2025 (88%), most recently on Jul 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, role: press secretary) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 7/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: press secretary
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
Congress
- Probability
- 55% · n=8
- Settled
- 7/8 (88%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: role: press secretary
Counts: role: press secretary
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…it's exactly what he is delivering with the help of Republicans in Congress. Democrats throw around the word affordability a lot, but when they had…
…again they have chosen to block this administration to block republicans in congress from keeping our government open which does not help anyone in it…
Counts: role: press secretary
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…Capitol Hill, and he wants to see all Senators and members of Congress voting in favor of the SAVE America Act, because it's crucially important…
…quite clear. We're going to continue to move forward to work with Congress, hopefully in the future, to remedy this problem in our country and…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Congress |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Congress | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Congress | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Congress | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 19, 2026 | Congress | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 5, 2026 | Congress | Polymarket | Yes | 5 |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Congress |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| May 29, 2025 | Congress | Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
Questions
- How often is “Congress” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Congress” was said at the White House press briefing on 7 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 29, 2025 (88%), most recently on Jul 23, 2026.
- What is the probability “Congress” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: press secretary.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘Congress’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/congress (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=congress · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP