Will “No Tax” be said at the next White House press briefing?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “No Tax” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 28, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press briefings we have transcripts for (May 28, 2026 – Oct 13, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
White House press briefing
No Tax
- Probability
- 40% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 press briefings
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…44 percent, claimed at least one of the president's signature tax cuts: no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, the reduced taxes on Social…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “No Tax” said at the White House press briefing?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “No Tax” was said at the White House press briefing on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 28, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 28, 2026.
- What is the probability “No Tax” is said at the White House press briefing next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “White House press briefing: ‘No Tax’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/white-house-press-briefing/words/no-tax (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=no%20tax · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=white-house-press-briefing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP