Will “Weather” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Weather” was said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 17, 2026.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 4.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Lemonade Stand

Weather

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 21, 2026 · Oct 21, 2026 · 25:57In transcript

…a scale of like efficiency you're accessing regardless. you get to like weather blackouts or like uh critical periods regardless, but you still need to…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 14, 2026 · Oct 14, 2026 · 49:09In transcript

…it, I think it cascades. And so giving someone the stability to weather those shocks, I think is a net benefit to all of society.…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 7, 2026 · Oct 7, 2026 · 1:21:26In transcript

…more cost effective to be able to. Probably use for the shitty weather of the Nordics is what I'll say. Some people like the weather.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 9, 2026 · Sep 9, 2026 · 31:10In transcript

…like need to move things from a store or something like that the weather is cold and depressing and it's cold and depressing the sun

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 7) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 30) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 16) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 9) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 2) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 26) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 12) · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 17, 2026WeatherPolymarketYes

Questions

How often is “Weather” said on Lemonade Stand?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Weather” was said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 17, 2026.
What is the probability “Weather” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
65%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Weather’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/weather (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=weather · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP