Will “IPO” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “IPO” was said on Lemonade Stand in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 17, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
IPO
- Probability
- 71% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
I think he's aligned to the OpenAI IPO. Yes, I do. I think so as well. He's very aligned. The financial incentives are just too…
Especially as OpenAI prepares for its massive IPO. Anthropic, same thing. Both have them coming up. They're a very big deal. There's a lot of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “IPO” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “IPO” was said on Lemonade Stand in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 17, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026.
- What is the probability “IPO” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 71%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘IPO’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/ipo (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=ipo · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP