Will “World Cup” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “World Cup” was said on Lemonade Stand in 2 of 5 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 17, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 0.

47%from settlement history only · n=5counts: anyone
Last 10
2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Lemonade Stand

World Cup

Probability
47% · n=5
Settled
2/5 (40%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14) · not said

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 7) · not said

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 30) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 16) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 9) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 2) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 26) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 12) · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 14, 2026World CupPolymarketNo0
Oct 7, 2026World CupPolymarketNo0
Jul 22, 2026World CupPolymarketYes–
Jul 15, 2026World CupPolymarketYes–
Jun 17, 2026World CupPolymarketNo–

Questions

How often is “World Cup” said on Lemonade Stand?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “World Cup” was said on Lemonade Stand in 2 of 5 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 17, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026.
What is the probability “World Cup” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
47%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘World Cup’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/world-cup (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=world%20cup · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP