Will “World Cup” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “World Cup” was said on Lemonade Stand in 2 of 5 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 17, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceLemonade Stand
World Cup
- Probability
- 47% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shownQuestions
- How often is “World Cup” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “World Cup” was said on Lemonade Stand in 2 of 5 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 17, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026.
- What is the probability “World Cup” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘World Cup’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/world-cup (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=world%20cup · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP