Will “Texas” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Texas” was not said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 17, 2026.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 6.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Lemonade Stand

Texas

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 21, 2026 · Oct 21, 2026 · 22:47In transcript

So, you guys know how in Texas, um, they have blackouts very often,

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 14, 2026 · Oct 14, 2026 · 1:00:02In transcript

Like there was one person in Texas, one woman in Texas, who had sold her identity or whatever to 300 people in North Korea. She…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 7, 2026 · Oct 7, 2026 · 3:02In transcript

…Well, asterisk on the last one. So first off, let's talk about Texas. We've talked about the Senate Texas race between Tallarico and, I believe,…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 23, 2026 · Sep 23, 2026 · 1:12:17In transcript

…that's right let's look what else what else yeah sorry this is quick another quick one did you know that in texas data centers aren't

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 9, 2026 · Sep 9, 2026 · 8:33In transcript

…is pretty goofy but it's all real however let's go over to Texas a little bit goofy I think we're just going to open this…

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 7) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 30) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 16) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 9) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 2) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 26) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 12) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 17, 2026TexasPolymarketNo

Questions

How often is “Texas” said on Lemonade Stand?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Texas” was not said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 17, 2026.
What is the probability “Texas” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Texas’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/texa (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=texa · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP