Will “California” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “California” was not said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 17, 2026.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 4.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Lemonade Stand

California

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 14, 2026 · Oct 14, 2026 · 42:14In transcript

…and their experience on a UBI program that is going on in California. So what's interesting to me is Elon Musk, again, other tech leaders,…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 7, 2026 · Oct 7, 2026 · 1:27:11In transcript

…be suing TikTok just for the money. Yes. A hundred? Isn't that like how much the California wealth tax is supposed to raise or something?

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 23, 2026 · Sep 23, 2026 · 21:50In transcript

bit. And this guy's Rob Bonta. He's the attorney general of California. He is the guy leading this group of 12 AGs, probably the most…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 9, 2026 · Sep 9, 2026 · 7:37In transcript

…go uh go vote if you get that like similar booklet to california that gives you all the names and uh just go to the…

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 7) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 30) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 16) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 9) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 2) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 26) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 12) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 17, 2026CaliforniaPolymarketNo

Questions

How often is “California” said on Lemonade Stand?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “California” was not said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 17, 2026.
What is the probability “California” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘California’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/california (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=california · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP