# World News Tonight (world-news-tonight) · tv_episode 2026-07-24 · 16 words · K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL24 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:49:30Z
# scope K host_or_reporter · n/y settled before 2026-07-24 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL24 ({word} = w of K rows): If any host or reporter says {word} as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	11	8	0.73	nYYYYnYYYY	0.63	hist	yes
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	9	7	0.78	YYnYYnYYY	0.62	hist	yes
ICE	ice	1	6	4	0.67	YYYYnn	0.51	hist	no
Cyclosporiasis / Cyclospora	cyclospora|cyclosporiasis	1	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.48	hist	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	4	2	0.5	nnYY	0.48	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	2	0	0	nn	0.32	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	6	1	0.17	nnnnnY	0.31	hist	no
LeBron	lebron	1	2	0	0	nn	0.31	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	2	0	0	nn	0.31	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	9	1	0.11	nYnnnnnnn	0.23	hist	no
Bon Jovi	bon jovi	1	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Bronco	bronco	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Jimothy / Raccoon	jimothy|raccoon	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Measles	measle	1	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Salmonella	salmonella	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Yemen / Houthi	houthi|yemen	1	0	0			0.42	prior	yes