# World News Tonight (world-news-tonight) · tv_episode 2026-07-23 · 16 words · K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL23 · as_of 2026-10-24T09:21:02Z
# scope K host_or_reporter · n/y settled before 2026-07-23 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL23 ({word} = w of K rows): If any host or reporter says {word} as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	10	7	0.7	nnYYYYnYYY	0.6	hist	yes
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	8	6	0.75	YYnYYnYY	0.58	hist	yes
ICE	ice	1	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	0.56	hist	no
Bertha	bertha	1	2	2	1	YY	0.55	hist	yes
Cyclosporiasis / Cyclospora	cyclospora|cyclosporiasis	1	2	2	1	YY	0.55	hist	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.4	hist	yes
LeBron	lebron	1	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	8	1	0.12	nYnnnnnn	0.24	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.23	hist	yes
Foreclosure	foreclosure	1	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Google	google	1	0	0			0.4	prior	no
JD / Vance	jd|vance	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Orca	orca	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Saudi	saudi	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Secret Service	secret service	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Tesla	tesla	1	0	0			0.4	prior	no