Will “Bertha” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 23, 2026, “Bertha” was said on World News Tonight in 3 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 12, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 0. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 23, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Bertha
- Probability
- 47% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Bertha” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, “Bertha” was said on World News Tonight in 3 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 23, 2026.
- What is the probability “Bertha” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Bertha’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/bertha (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=bertha · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP