# World News Tonight (world-news-tonight) · tv_episode 2026-08-13 · 15 words · K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG13 · as_of 2026-10-24T16:57:53Z
# scope K host_or_reporter · n/y settled before 2026-08-13 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG13 ({word} = w of K rows): If any host or reporter says {word} as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	15	11	0.73	YYYnYYYYYY	0.67	hist	no
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	24	17	0.71	YYYYnYnnYn	0.55	hist	no
Air Force One	air force one	1	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	no
Powerball	powerball	1	4	2	0.5	nYnY	0.45	hist	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	1	8	4	0.5	nYnYYnYn	0.44	hist	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.39	hist	no
North Korea	north korea	1	0	0			0.36	hist	no
Cyclospora / Cyclosporiasis	cyclospora|cyclosporiasis	1	8	3	0.38	YYnnYnnn	0.35	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	17	3	0.18	nnnnYnYnnn	0.27	hist	no
AOC / Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	alexandria ocasio cortez|aoc	1	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Apache	apache	1	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Harvard	harvard	1	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Karoline / Leavitt	karoline|leavitt	1	0	0			0.4	prior	no
USS Abraham Lincoln	uss abraham lincoln	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
WNBA	wnba	1	0	0			0.4	prior	no