Will “Drop / Dropped” be said on Survivor next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Drop / Dropped” was said on Survivor in 4 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (80%), most recently on May 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 58% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- the host
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Survivor
Drop / Dropped
- Probability
- 58% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
Next listing counts: the host
We don’t have transcripts for Survivor yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Drop / Dropped |  Kalshi | Yes |
| May 13, 2026 | Drop / Dropped | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 6, 2026 | Drop / Dropped | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Drop / Dropped | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Drop / Dropped | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Drop / Dropped” said on Survivor?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Drop / Dropped” was said on Survivor in 4 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (80%), most recently on May 20, 2026.
- What is the probability “Drop / Dropped” is said on Survivor next time?
- 58%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: the host.
Cite parrot.markets, “Survivor: ‘Drop / Dropped’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/survivor/words/drop-or-dropped (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=drop%20%2F%20dropped · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=survivor&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP