# Survivor (survivor) · tv_episode 2026-05-20 · 20 words · K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY20 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:44:54Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-05-20 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY20 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jeff Probst says {word} as part of Survivor Season 50 Finale, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Strategy / Strategic / Strategize	strategic|strategize|strategy	4	4	1	YYYY	0.67	hist	no
Tie / Tied	tie|tied	9	7	0.78	YnYYnYYYY	0.66	hist	yes
MrBeast / Beast	beast|mrbeast	15	7	0.47	nnnYYYYYYY	0.65	hist	yes
Fire	fire	23	15	0.65	YnYYYYYYnY	0.61	hist	yes
Drop / Dropped	drop|dropped	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.55	hist	yes
Snake	snake	12	6	0.5	nnYYYYnnYY	0.55	hist	no
Alliance	alliance	34	12	0.35	nYnYnYYYnn	0.43	hist	yes
Immunity Idol	immunity idol	23	10	0.43	nYnnYnnYYn	0.42	hist	yes
Record / Longest	longest|record	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.4	hist	no
Blindside / Blind Side	blind side|blindside	11	4	0.36	nnnnnYYYnn	0.39	hist	no
Comeback / Come Back	come back|comeback	19	3	0.16	nnnYnnnnnY	0.34	hist	yes
Sacrifice / Sacrificed	sacrifice|sacrificed	1	0	0	n	0.33	hist	no
Fiji	fiji	8	2	0.25	YnnnYnnn	0.28	hist	yes
Trust	trust	24	4	0.17	nnnnnnnnYn	0.28	hist	no
Fallon	fallon	10	2	0.2	nnYYnnnnnn	0.24	hist	yes
Medic / Medical	medic|medical	11	2	0.18	nnYnnnnnnn	0.22	hist	no
Hunger / Hungry	hunger|hungry	23	1	0.04	nnnnnnnnnn	0.17	hist	no
Auction	auction	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Billie / Eilish	billie|eilish	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Zac Brown	zac brown	0	0			0.41	prior	yes