Will “Fallon” be said on Survivor next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fallon” was said on Survivor in 3 of 12 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (25%), most recently on May 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.

33%from settlement history only · n=12counts: contestants (not the host)
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no no no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
contestants (not the host)
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=fallon

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Survivor

Fallon

Probability
33% · n=12
Settled
3/12 (25%)

Next listing counts: contestants (not the host)

We don’t have transcripts for Survivor yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the contestants say during Survivor Season 50 Finale? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during the Survivor Season 50 Finale? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 12? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 12? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will any participating contestant say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 10? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 10? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 9? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 9? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 12 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 21, 2026FallonKalshiNo
May 20, 2026FallonKalshiYes
May 14, 2026FallonKalshiNo
May 13, 2026FallonKalshiNo
May 7, 2026FallonKalshiNo
May 6, 2026FallonKalshiNo
Apr 30, 2026FallonKalshiNo
Apr 29, 2026FallonKalshiNo
Apr 23, 2026FallonKalshiYes
Apr 22, 2026FallonKalshiYes
Apr 16, 2026FallonKalshiNo
Apr 15, 2026FallonKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Fallon” said on Survivor?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fallon” was said on Survivor in 3 of 12 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (25%), most recently on May 20, 2026.
What is the probability “Fallon” is said on Survivor next time?
33%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: contestants (not the host).

Cite parrot.markets, “Survivor: ‘Fallon’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/survivor/words/fallon (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=fallon · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=survivor&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP