Chris Wright: Interview, Sep 17, 2026
Kalshi What will Chris Wright say during Daily Caller Live?
Markets
17 words · 14 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 71%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | 71%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 71%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 69%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | Yes | 65%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Solar / Windmill | Yes | 65%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| California | Yes | 61%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Coal | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Permit / Permitting | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SMR / Small Modular Reactor | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| China | Yes | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Climate | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 65%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Lawsuit / Litigation / Lawfare | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Venezuela | No | 33%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26SEP17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP