Will Chris Wright say “Trump” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Chris Wright said “Trump” 3+ times at 4 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (44%), most recently on Sep 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Mar 8, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 4/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Chris Wright
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- 49% · n=9
- Settled
- 4/9 (44%)
- Last 5 episodes
- said in 2 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted; 20 by speakers the rule does not count.
…Labor Day tomorrow, the end of the summer driving season. And the Trump administration a couple weeks ago rolled out a change in regulations that'll…
…refineries and coal plants closed. You could summarize their energy and climate policies in two words, expensive energy. President Trump has swum against that tide.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 13, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 10, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | 1 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often does Chris Wright say “Trump (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Chris Wright said “Trump” 3+ times at 4 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (44%), most recently on Sep 17, 2026.
- What is the probability Chris Wright says “Trump (3+ times)” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Chris Wright: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/chris-wright/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=chris-wright&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=chris-wright&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP