Will Chris Wright say “Solar / Windmill”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Chris Wright said “Solar / Windmill” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 6, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 episodes; Mar 8, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceChris Wright
Solar / Windmill
- Probability
- 68% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 0 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Solar / Windmill | Yes | – | |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Solar / Windmill | Yes | – | |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Solar / Windmill | No | 0 | |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Solar / Windmill | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Chris Wright say “Solar / Windmill”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Chris Wright said “Solar / Windmill” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 6, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Chris Wright says “Solar / Windmill” next time?
- 68%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Chris Wright: ‘Solar / Windmill’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/chris-wright/words/solar-or-windmill (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=chris-wright&word=solar%20%2F%20windmill · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=chris-wright&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP