Raphael Warnock: Interview, Mar 18, 2026
Kalshi What will Raphael Warnock say during his MS NOW interview?
Markets
9 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Save Act / Save America Act | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FBI | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Housing | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / DHS | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAR18 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP