Will Raphael Warnock say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Raphael Warnock said “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 23, 2026 – Oct 7, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

53%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=raphael-warnock&word=afford%20%2F%20affordability%20%2F%20affordable

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Raphael Warnock

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

Probability
53% · n=3
Settled
3/3 (100%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Raphael Warnockguest25:03In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Raphael Warnock say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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What will Raphael Warnock say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Raphael Warnock say during MS NOW: The Weeknight? · not listed

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What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Raphael Warnock say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Raphael Warnock say during his MS NOW interview? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 7, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes1
Sep 23, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Jun 23, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes–
Mar 18, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Raphael Warnock say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Raphael Warnock said “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 7, 2026.
What is the probability Raphael Warnock says “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” next time?
53%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Raphael Warnock: ‘Afford / Affordable / Affordability’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/raphael-warnock/words/afford-or-affordability-or-affordable (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=raphael-warnock&word=afford%20%2F%20affordability%20%2F%20affordable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=raphael-warnock&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP