What is the probability Raphael Warnock says “Save Act / Save America Act” next time?

53%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Raphael Warnock say “Save Act / Save America Act”?

Name: Raphael Warnock: “Save Act / Save America Act” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Raphael Warnock said “Save Act / Save America Act” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 18, 2026.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Sep 23, 2026 – Oct 7, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 02:06 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Raphael Warnock

Save Act / Save America Act

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 2 transcripts: said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Raphael WarnockguestThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell (MS NOW), October 7, 2026 · Oct 7, 2026 · 24:51In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Raphael Warnock say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Raphael Warnock say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Raphael Warnock say during MS NOW: The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Raphael Warnock say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Raphael Warnock say during his MS NOW interview? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Mar 18, 2026	Save Act / Save America Act	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often does Raphael Warnock say “Save Act / Save America Act”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Raphael Warnock said “Save Act / Save America Act” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 18, 2026.
What is the probability Raphael Warnock says “Save Act / Save America Act” next time?: 53%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Raphael Warnock: ‘Save Act / Save America Act’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/raphael-warnock/words/save-act-or-save-america-act (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=raphael-warnock&word=save%20act%20%2F%20save%20america%20act · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=raphael-warnock&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP