# Raphael Warnock (raphael-warnock) · interview 2026-03-18 · 9 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAR18 · as_of 2026-10-24T09:44:04Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-18 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAR18 ({word} = w of K rows): If Raphael Warnock says {word} as part of MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	0	0		0.44	yes
Election	election	0	0		0.44	yes
FBI	fbi	0	0		0.44	no
Housing	housing	0	0		0.44	no
ICE / DHS	dhs|ice	0	0		0.44	no
Iran	iran	0	0		0.44	no
Save Act / Save America Act	save act|save america act	0	0		0.44	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	0	0		0.44	no
Trump	trump	0	0		0.44	yes