# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-06-08 · 17 words · K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26JUN08 · as_of 2026-10-24T22:43:29Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-06-08 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26JUN08 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of next Rachel Maddow Show , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	6	5	0.83	YYYYnY	0.5	hist	no
Prison / Camp	camp|prison	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.45	hist	yes
ICE / DHS	dhs|ice	3	3	1	YYY	0.43	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	16	8	0.5	YYYYnnYYnn	0.42	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	10	5	0.5	YnYYnYYnnn	0.37	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	6	3	0.5	YYYnnn	0.37	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	no
UFC	ufc	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	15	3	0.2	nnYnnnYnnn	0.27	hist	no
Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting	redistrict|redistricted|redistricting	3	0	0	nnn	0.25	hist	no
Afford / Affordability / Affordable	afford|affordability|affordable	6	1	0.17	Ynnnnn	0.24	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	8	1	0.12	nYnnnnnn	0.23	hist	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	8	1	0.12	Ynnnnnnn	0.21	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	9	0	0	nnnnnnnnn	0.19	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	9	0	0	nnnnnnnnn	0.19	hist	no
Pratt	pratt	0	0			0.35	prior	yes
Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization	weaponization|weaponize|weaponized	0	0			0.35	prior	no