# Karoline Leavitt (karoline-leavitt) · tv_episode 2025-03-15 · 20 words · K k:KXLEAVITTSMFMENTION-25MAR15 · as_of 2026-10-24T10:53:49Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-03-15 · tn/th last 8 transcripts of any kind 2025-01-28..2025-03-11 (under 2 tv episode transcripts) · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLEAVITTSMFMENTION-25MAR15 ({word} = w of K rows): If Karoline Leavitt says {word} as part of on Sunday Morning Futures, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	tn	th	p	res
Bitcoin	bitcoin	0	0		8	0	0.37	no
Canada	canada	0	0		8	6	0.37	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	0	0		8	2	0.37	no
CNN	cnn	0	0		8	2	0.37	no
Columbia / Colombia	colombia|columbia	0	0		8	1	0.37	no
Crypto	crypto	0	0		8	2	0.37	no
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	0	0		8	5	0.37	no
Gaza	gaza	0	0		8	4	0.37	no
Hostage	hostage	0	0		8	4	0.37	no
Israel	israel	0	0		8	5	0.37	no
Mahmoud / Khalil	khalil|mahmoud	0	0		8	1	0.37	no
Mexico	mexico	0	0		8	5	0.37	no
New York Times / NYT	new york time|nyt	0	0		8	1	0.37	no
Peace	peace	0	0		8	5	0.37	no
Putin	putin	0	0		8	1	0.37	no
Shutdown / Shut down	shut down|shutdown	0	0		8	2	0.37	no
Socialist	socialist	0	0		8	0	0.37	no
Tariff	tariff	0	0		8	7	0.37	yes
Wall Street Journal / WSJ	wall street journal|wsj	0	0		8	2	0.37	no
Zelensky	zelensky	0	0		8	0	0.37	no