Will “Noem / Homan” be said on The Last Word next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Noem / Homan” was not said on The Last Word in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
39%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell
Noem / Homan
- Probability
- 39% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Noem / Homan |  Kalshi | No |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Noem / Homan | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Noem / Homan | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Noem / Homan” said on The Last Word?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Noem / Homan” was not said on The Last Word in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026.
- What is the probability “Noem / Homan” is said on The Last Word next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Noem / Homan’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/homan-or-noem (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=homan%20%2F%20noem · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP